FM-3-81 Maneuver Enhancement Brigade Download
Page 121 of 188
Synchronize and Coordinate Protection 09 November 2021 FM 3-81 A-21 Table A-4. Example protection working group activities (continued) Inputs and out puts Inputs: • Commanders guidance and intent • Operations and warning orders • Current scheme of protection • Threat and hazard assessment • Vulnerability assessment • Criticality assessment • Risk management • CAL • DAL Outputs: • Update protection assessment • Scheme of protection • Protection Running estimate • Protection prioritization list • Recommended FPCON • Recommended protection guidance and mitigation measures • Recommended changes to EEFI • Recommended changes to CAL and prioritization of DAL Agenda • Roll Call • Operations/intelligence update (G-3/G-2) • Protection prioritization list assessment / update (Chief of Protection) • New vulnerabilities—next 72 hours (Chief of Protection) • Mitigation measures (Chief of Protection) • Recommendations—security posture adjustments, information engagement, resource allocation, required training (Chief of Protection) • Guidance (G-3) • Conclusion (Chief of Protection) Legend: ADA air defense artillery AO area of operations AT antiterrorism CA civil affairs CAL critical asset list CBRN chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear DAL defended asset list EEFI essential elements of friendly information EOD explosive ordnance disposal FPCON force protection condition G-2 assistant chief of staff, intelligence G-3 assistant chief of staff, operations LNO liaison officer OPSEC operations security PR personnel recovery SOP standard operating procedure RUNNING ESTIMATE A-55. A running estimate is the continuous assessment of the current situation used to determine if the current operation is proceeding according to the commander’s intent and if planned future operations are supportable (ADP 5-0). Failure to maintain accurate running estimates may lead to errors or omissions that result in flawed plans or bad decisions during execution. Running estimates include recommendations for anticipated decisions. During planning, commanders use these recommendations to select feasible, acceptable, and suitable COAs for further analysis. During preparation and execution, commanders use recommendations from running estimates in decision making. See ADP 5-0 for additional information on running estimates. A-56. The protection working group develops and refines the protection running estimate (see figure A-6, page A-22). The protection estimate provides a picture to the command on the protection continuing activity. It is developed from information (including the facts, assumptions, constraints, limitations, risks, and issues) pertaining to the protection mission and the scheme of protection. It includes the essential tasks from a higher order. Integrating process data and continuing activities (assets available, civil considerations, threat and hazard assessments, criticality assessments, vulnerability assessments, capability assessments, MOEs, MOPs, essential elements of friendly information, protection priorities, risk decision points, supporting tasks) feed updates to the running estimate.