ATP-5-0-2-1 Staff Reference Guide Volume 1 Download

Chapter 4 148 ATP 5-0.2-1 07 December 2020 Table 4-6. Example indicators of variances that may require RDSP (continued) Types Indicators Fires Receipt of an air tasking order. Battle damage assessment results. Unplanned repositioning of firing units. Identification of high payoff targets. Identification of an information requirement. Execution of planned fires. Modification of a fire support coordination measure. Effective enemy counterfire. Negative effects of fires on civilians. Protection Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear report or other indicators of enemy chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear use. Report or other indicators of enemy improvised explosive device use. Indicators of coordinated enemy actions against civilians or friendly forces. Increased criminal activity in a given area of operations. Increase in organized protests or riots. Identification of threats to communications or computer systems. Reports of enemy targeting critical host-nation infrastructure. Identification of threat to base or sustainment facilities. Escalation of force incidents. Loss of border security. Sustainment Significant loss of capability in any class of supply. Identification of significant incidences of disease and non-battle injury casualties. Mass casualties. Receipt of significant resupply. Disruption of one or more essential civil services (such as water or electricity). Contact on a supply route. Answer to a friendly force information requirement. Mass detainees. Degradations to essential civilian infrastructure by threat actions. Civilian mass casualty event beyond capability of host-nation resources. Identification of significant shortage in any class of supply. Outbreak of epidemic or famine within the civilian population. Medical evacuation launch. Dislocated civilian event beyond capability of host-nation resources. Disruption of key logistics LOC. Changes in availability of host nation support. Command and control Impending changes in key military leadership. Interference with freedom of the press or news media. Receipt of a fragmentary order or warning order from higher headquarters. Effective threat information efforts on civilians. Loss of civilian communications nodes. Loss of contact with a CP or commander. Jamming or interference. STEP 2. DETERMINE THE TYPE OF DECISION REQUIRED 4-37. When a variance is identified, the commander directs action while the chief of operations leads chiefs of the current operations integration cell and selected functional cells in quickly comparing the current situation to the expected situation. This assessment accomplishes the following:  Describes the variance.  Determines if the variance provides a significant opportunity or threat and examines the potential for either.  Determines if a decision is needed by identifying if the variance:  Indicates an opportunity that can be exploited to accomplish the mission faster or with fewer resources.  Directly threatens the decisive operation’s (DO’s) success.  Threatens a shaping operation (SO) such that the variance may threaten the DO directly or in the near future.