ATP-5-0-2-1 Staff Reference Guide Volume 1 Download

Page 163 of 440

Executing 07 December 2020 ATP 5-0.2-1 147 STEP 1. COMPARE THE CURRENT SITUATION TO THE ORDER 4-34. Commanders and staffs identify likely variances during planning, options that will be present, and actions that will be available when each variance occurs. During execution, commanders and staffs monitor the situation to identify changes in conditions. Then they ask if these changes affect the overall conduct of operations or their part in them and if the changes are significant. Finally, they identify if the changed conditions represent variances from the order—especially opportunities and risks. Staff members use running estimates to look for indicators of variances that affect their warfighting function (see table 4-6 on pages 147–148 for examples of indicators of variances). 4-35. Staff members are particularly alert for answers to CCIRs that support anticipated decisions. They also watch for exceptional information. Exceptional information is any piece or group of information that could affect decision making. Exceptional information usually reveals a need for an adjustment decision. 4-36. When performing RDSP, the current operations integration cell first compares the current situation to the one envisioned in the order. It may obtain assistance from the assessment section or the red team section in this analysis. If the situation requires greater analysis, the COS or XO may task the future operations cell (where authorized) or the plans cell to perform this analysis. At echelons with no future operations cell, the plans cell or the current operations integration cell performs this function. Table 4-6. Example indicators of variances that may require RDSP Types Indicators General Answer to a commander’s critical information requirement. Identification of an information requirement. Change in mission. Change in organization of unit. Change in leadership of unit. Signing or implementation of peace treaty or other key political arrangement. Change in capabilities of subordinate unit. Change in role of host nation military force. Climate changes or natural disasters operations. Intelligence Identification of enemy main effort. Identification of enemy reserves or counterattack. Indications of unexpected enemy action or preparation. Increase in enemy solicitation of civilians for intelligence operations. Identification of an information requirement. Insertion of manned surveillance teams. Disruption of primary and secondary education system. Unexplained disappearance of key members of intelligence community. Enemy electromagnetic attack use. Indicators of illicit economic activity. Identification of threats from within the population. Identification of high value targets. Unmanned aircraft system launch. Answer to a priority intelligence requirement. Enemy rotary wing or unmanned aircraft system use. Movement and maneuver Success or failure in breaching or gap crossing operations. Capture of significant numbers of enemy prisoners of war, enemy CPs, supply points, or artillery units. Establishment of road blocks along major traffic routes. Unexplained displacement of neighborhoods within a given area of operations. Success or failure of a subordinate unit task. Modification of an airspace coordinating measure. Numbers of dislocated civilians sufficient to affect friendly operations. Damages to civilian infrastructure affecting friendly mobility. Loss of one or more critical transportation systems.